Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ali Habib and Filippo Francesco Garbero in the ITF Men Hurghada, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ali Habib' if Ali Habib advances against Filippo Francesco Garbero. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Francesco Garbero' if Filippo Francesco Garbero advances against Ali Habib. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Hurghada: Ali Habib vs Filippo Francesco Garbero | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Ali Habib will face Filippo Francesco Garbero in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 13 May 2026 at Hurghada. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability on the order book, suggesting near-certainty that the match will proceed to completion with a decisive winner. This probability formation typically emerges when both players are confirmed entries with no reported injuries or withdrawals, and the tournament venue has established infrastructure for reliable scheduling.
ITF Futures events at established venues like Hurghada generally maintain strong completion rates, particularly for main draw matches where both competitors have travelled to the location. Historical precedent shows that matches at this level settle to a winner in roughly 95% of cases, with cancellations or extended delays beyond the seven-day window remaining uncommon unless significant external disruptions occur. The current 100% reading on Polymarket's order book reflects this baseline reliability rather than absolute certainty of outcome.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 13 May. Weather conditions at the Egyptian venue during May could theoretically impact scheduling, though this rarely extends beyond the settlement window. Court availability and tournament logistics typically proceed without incident at ITF venues with established operations. The settlement deadline of 20 May provides a seven-day buffer, aligning with standard resolution protocols for professional tennis markets.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Hurghada: Ali Habib vs Filippo Francesco Garbero" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$402 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $402 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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