Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for May 10 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 83% YES | 17% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 19% YES | 81% NO |
Paris Saint-Germain will host Stade Brestois on 10 May 2026 in a Ligue 1 fixture scheduled for 3:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 63% implied probability for the YES side of this market, indicating traders are pricing in a moderate but clear favouring of the home side. This probability has been formed through cumulative trading activity and represents the marginal price at which the last transactions cleared.
Historically, PSG's home record against mid-table Ligue 1 opposition has supported win probabilities in the 60–70% range, though this varies significantly with squad composition and fixture congestion late in the season. Brestois has improved substantially in recent seasons, qualifying for European competition and occasionally taking points from stronger sides, which has compressed traditional home-team advantages. The timing—final day of the season—introduces additional context: both clubs' league positions and European qualification scenarios will be locked in by kick-off, potentially affecting motivation and tactical approach.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official squad announcements in the week preceding the match, particularly regarding injuries to key PSG players or unexpected absences from either side. Fixture scheduling for the preceding midweek rounds may also influence fatigue levels. Brestois's European commitments earlier in the season could affect their squad depth available for this fixture. Any shifts in Ligue 1 title races or European qualification races that materialise before 10 May may alter how both teams approach the match, creating opportunities for probability reassessment on the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$115K in lifetime turnover and $120K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $113K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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