Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Pakistan and West Indies scheduled for 2026-05-29 in T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Pakistan will be considered correct if Pakistan is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than West Indies.The outcome corresponding to West Indies will be considered correct if West Indies is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Pakistan. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills with 3 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| PAK3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| WST10 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Pakistan and West Indies will contest a Women's T20 match on 29 May 2026 as part of the Ireland Tri-Series. The market concerns which team will strike more sixes during the encounter, with settlement based on official ESPN Cricinfo records. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Pakistan, suggesting traders are pricing West Indies as the overwhelming favourite to hit more sixes.
Women's T20 cricket has seen considerable variation in six-hitting rates depending on opposition strength, pitch conditions, and squad composition. West Indies women have historically demonstrated aggressive batting approaches in T20 formats, whilst Pakistan's recent performances in limited-overs cricket have been more variable. Comparable tri-series matches involving these teams show West Indies typically maintains higher strike rates in powerplay and middle-order phases, though Pakistan's lower-order batting has occasionally produced explosive phases. The 0% probability on the order book suggests market participants are heavily weighted towards West Indies' aggressive reputation.
Key variables for traders include team announcements regarding squad selection and any late injury updates, particularly affecting opening batsmen or middle-order hitters who drive six-hitting rates. Weather conditions in Ireland in late May—including wind direction and cloud cover—materially affect boundary distances and ball carry. The tri-series format itself may influence tactical aggression levels; teams playing their second or third match might adopt different approaches than opening fixtures. Monitoring team news through official ICC channels and ESPN Cricinfo in the week preceding 29 May will clarify whether either side has personnel changes affecting batting depth.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 5 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.espncricinfo.com/), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies - Most Sixes", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($0 of resting liquidity), a $50 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies - Most Sixes", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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