Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Hampshire and Surrey scheduled for 2026-05-29 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Hampshire will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Hampshire. The outcome corresponding to Surrey will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Surrey.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| HAM | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SUR | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Hampshire and Surrey will contest a T20 Blast fixture on 29 May 2026, with this market determining which team produces the match's highest individual batter. The settlement hinges on ESPN Cricinfo's final statistics, with the outcome favouring Hampshire if one of their players records the highest score, or Surrey if a Surrey player achieves it. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, suggesting near-certainty in the market's pricing, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the inherent variance in T20 cricket outcomes.
T20 Blast matches historically feature volatile individual performances, with top-order batters frequently scoring 30–60 runs in powerplay phases. Hampshire and Surrey have comparable squad depth and recent form trajectories in domestic T20 cricket, making unilateral dominance by either team's batting lineup relatively uncommon. Previous editions of this fixture have typically seen competitive individual performances distributed across both sides, rather than one team monopolising the highest score. The current 100% probability suggests either exceptional data favouring one team's composition or potential liquidity constraints on the order book.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad selection and injury status through late May, as opening-batter availability directly influences scoring patterns. Weather forecasts for the match venue will affect pitch conditions and scoring rates. Recent form data from both teams' preceding T20 Blast matches should be cross-referenced against historical performance metrics to validate whether the current pricing reflects genuine information asymmetry or represents an anomaly requiring correction.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Surrey - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$300 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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