Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Chennai Super Kings and Mumbai Indians scheduled for 2026-05-02 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Chennai Super Kings will be considered correct if Chennai Super Kings is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Mumbai Indians.The outcome corresponding to Mumbai Indians will be considered correct if Mumbai Indians is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Chennai Super Kings.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CHE | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| MUM | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Chennai Super Kings and Mumbai Indians will contest an IPL match on 2 May 2026, with this market tracking which side strikes more sixes. The settlement window closes on 9 May 2026, allowing for any official statistics amendments following the match conclusion. Current order book pricing on Polymarket reflects 0% implied probability for a Chennai Super Kings victory in this metric, suggesting the market is pricing Mumbai Indians as the overwhelming favourite to hit more sixes, though the zero probability reading indicates minimal liquidity or an extreme skew in available orders.
Historically, both franchises rank amongst the IPL's most aggressive batting units. Mumbai Indians have consistently finished in the top three for six-hitting frequency across recent seasons, whilst Chennai Super Kings, despite a more measured approach under MS Dhoni's captaincy, have demonstrated capacity for explosive phases. Head-to-head records show Mumbai Indians marginally ahead in six-hitting differential over the past three seasons, though venue and pitch conditions at the scheduled ground significantly influence boundary-hitting rates. The current probability assignment appears to embed Mumbai's recent form advantage rather than reflecting fundamental structural differences.
Traders should monitor team composition announcements and injury updates prior to the match, particularly regarding opening batsmen and middle-order hitters. Weather forecasts for the match date and venue specifications—ground dimensions, pitch reports from preceding matches—will inform six-hitting likelihood. Recent IPL squad rotations and player availability, typically confirmed by mid-April, may alter expected batting lineups. The settlement depends entirely on ESPN Cricinfo's official match statistics, with any discrepancies requiring resolution through their published records.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$347 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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