Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cisco's Networking revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| $7.5B | 94% YES | 6% NO |
| $8.0B | 87% YES | 14% NO |
| $8.5B | 81% YES | 19% NO |
| $9.0B | 42% YES | 59% NO |
Cisco will report its third fiscal quarter 2026 results sometime between April and May 2026, with the settlement window closing on 13 May. The market is pricing a 94% probability that Networking revenue—the company's largest segment, historically representing roughly 40–45% of total revenue—will exceed a specified threshold. This elevated probability reflects confidence in Cisco's core infrastructure business, which has shown resilience through recent technology cycles despite competitive pressures from hyperscalers and emerging vendors.
Historical context matters here. Cisco's Networking segment has demonstrated consistent quarter-on-quarter growth over the past two years, driven by sustained enterprise spending on security, switching, and routing infrastructure. The 94% implied probability on Polymarket's order book suggests traders view a miss as unlikely given this trajectory, though the segment remains sensitive to macroeconomic cycles and customer capex timing. Comparable technology infrastructure plays have occasionally disappointed on revenue guidance, so the probability reflects both Cisco's track record and residual execution risk.
Traders should monitor Cisco's pre-earnings commentary and any guidance updates in the months ahead. The company typically signals demand trends through analyst calls and conference appearances. Broader technology spending patterns—particularly enterprise IT budgets and cloud infrastructure investment—will influence actual results. Settlement depends entirely on figures disclosed in official earnings materials; any ambiguity or missing data would trigger a "No" resolution regardless of actual business performance.
Cisco Networking Academy or NetAcad is an online global educational program product of American Cisco Systems. It started in California in 1997.
Cisco Prime Network Registrar (CNR) is a Cisco software product that includes components for Domain Name System (DNS) services, Dynamic Host Configuration Protocol services, Trivial File Transfer Protocol (TFTP) services, and Simple Network Management Protocol functions. CNR provides a regional and local management structure and is supported on server hardwa
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above __ in Q3?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for finance contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $784 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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