Fifa world cup

Trade: Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00 PM ET.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$39K
Total Volume
$66
24h Volume
$36
Open Interest
$66
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Japan (-2.5) 9% YES92% NO
O/U 2.5 47% YES54% NO
O/U 4.5 9% YES91% NO
O/U 1.5 71% YES30% NO
O/U 5.5 9% YES91% NO
Sweden (-1.5) 9% YES92% NO
Sweden (-2.5) 9% YES92% NO
O/U 3.5 22% YES78% NO

Market context

Japan and Sweden are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 25 June 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices a YES outcome—indicating additional markets will be created for this fixture—at 9%, reflecting substantial scepticism among traders that supplementary betting opportunities will materialise beyond the standard match-result and total-goals markets already available.

Historical precedent suggests that major tournaments generate layered market proliferation. During the 2022 World Cup, Polymarket expanded its offering for high-profile matches to include first-goal scorer, corner-count ranges, and card-accumulation derivatives. However, the depth of secondary markets correlates with fixture prominence and trading volume; group-stage matches involving less commercially dominant nations typically receive narrower market coverage than knockout rounds or matches featuring traditional powerhouses. Japan has qualified for every World Cup since 1998 and reached the knockout stage in 2002 and 2010, whilst Sweden reached the 2018 semi-finals, suggesting both teams carry sufficient profile for expanded offerings.

Traders should monitor official FIFA World Cup scheduling confirmations and Polymarket's stated market-creation roadmap as the tournament approaches. Liquidity patterns in existing Japan–Sweden markets will signal community interest; sustained trading volume and tight spreads would increase the likelihood of derivative markets being added. Tournament-specific announcements regarding broadcast partnerships and regulatory clearances in major jurisdictions may also influence whether platforms expand their product suite for group-stage fixtures.

Wikipedia Context

  • Japan–Sweden relations
    Japan–Sweden relations

    Japan–Sweden relations are the bilateral relations of Japan and the Kingdom of Sweden. Japan has an embassy in Stockholm. Sweden has an embassy in Tokyo. Contacts between the two countries can be traced back to the 18th century when Carl Peter Thunberg, a disciple of the botanist Carl Linnaeus, came to Japan for plant collecting and researching. This made hi

  • Japan Sevens
    Japan Sevens

    The Japan Sevens, also known as the Tokyo Sevens, is an annual rugby sevens tournament held at the Chichibunomiya Rugby Stadium in Tokyo, Japan. It was a part of the Sevens World Series from 2000 to 2001 and from 2012 to 2015.

  • Baseball Federation of Japan
    Baseball Federation of Japan

    The Baseball Federation of Japan (BFJ) is the governing body of amateur baseball in Japan. They organize Japanese amateur baseball throughout Japan and overseas. The Federation was created by the merger of the Japan Amateur Baseball Association (JABA) and the Japan Student Baseball Association (JSBA) on June 20, 1990. In 2003, there were 160,000 people play

  • Daniel Caesar discography
    Daniel Caesar discography

    Canadian musician Daniel Caesar has released four studio albums and one studio EP, among many singles including "Get You" featuring Kali Uchis and "Best Part" featuring H.E.R. As a featured artist, his most notable appearances are on the Justin Bieber RIAA 4-times platinum single "Peaches" and on the opening track on Tyler, the Creator's album Chromakopia, S

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$66 in lifetime turnover and $39K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for fifa world cup contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.

Last 24 hours alone saw $36 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 25 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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