Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between ZennIT Orange GC and FOKUS Sakura in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ZennIT Orange GC" if ZennIT Orange GC win the match against FOKUS Sakura. This market will resolve to "FOKUS Sakura" if FOKUS Sakura win the match against ZennIT Orange GC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs ZennIT Orange GC (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: ZNT.O (-1.5) vs FOKUS Sakura (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
ZennIT Orange GC and FOKUS Sakura are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Valorant match within the VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage on 7 May at 14:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero implied probability for a ZennIT Orange GC victory, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in FOKUS Sakura or minimal trading activity establishing price discovery at this stage of the tournament calendar.
VCT Game Changers EMEA has historically featured competitive depth across regional rosters, with outcomes often determined by team preparation cycles and recent scrim performance rather than static ranking positions. Both organisations compete within a professional women's esports circuit where roster stability and coaching infrastructure have proven significant predictors of match outcomes. The 0% probability reading warrants scrutiny—such extreme valuations typically emerge either from genuine information asymmetry regarding team form or from insufficient liquidity generating artificial extremes before meaningful volume arrives.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling confirmations through the Riot Games esports website and team social media channels for any fixture postponements or roster changes in the days preceding the match. Recent tournament results from both teams' prior Group Stage encounters would provide concrete data on current competitive standing. The settlement window extends to 8 May at 00:20 UTC, allowing approximately 22 hours post-scheduled start time for match completion before tie-resolution protocols activate. Any technical issues, server problems, or administrative delays affecting match completion would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause rather than a decisive outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/remakeval. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: ZennIT Orange GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$303 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/remakeval. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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