Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between Shopify Rebellion Gold and Ghost Gaming GC in the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Gold" if Shopify Rebellion Gold win the match against Ghost Gaming GC. This market will resolve to "Ghost Gaming GC" if Ghost Gaming GC win the match against Shopify Rebellion Gold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Gold (-2.5) vs Ghost Gaming GC (+2.5) | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Match Winner | 75% YES | 26% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs Ghost Gaming GC (+1.5) | 69% YES | 31% NO |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Gold (-2.5) vs Ghost Gaming GC (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Shopify Rebellion Gold face Ghost Gaming GC in a lower bracket semifinal of the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 3 June at 7:30PM ET. The winner advances in the competition; the loser is eliminated. The current Polymarket order book prices Shopify Rebellion Gold at 74% implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that the team is the stronger favourite heading into this fixture.
Game Changers tournaments have historically featured competitive matchups between established North American rosters, though Shopify Rebellion Gold enters with stronger recent form and deeper tournament experience in the regional circuit. Ghost Gaming GC has shown capability to upset higher-seeded opponents but faces a team with more consistent map pool execution and player stability. The 74% probability suggests the market views this as a clear but not overwhelming advantage for Rebellion Gold, consistent with lower bracket dynamics where both teams have already survived earlier elimination rounds.
Traders should monitor roster availability and any last-minute substitutions announced before match day, as injuries or stand-in requirements could shift the competitive balance. The VCT schedule occasionally experiences delays; any postponement beyond 7 June without resolution would trigger market settlement rules. Patch updates to Valorant between now and the match date could also influence team preparation, particularly if they alter agent viability or map dynamics that either roster relies upon heavily.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Ghost Gaming GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $21K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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