Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates GC and GIANTX GC in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates GC" if Gentle Mates GC win the match against GIANTX GC. This market will resolve to "GIANTX GC" if GIANTX GC win the match against Gentle Mates GC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: M8.GC (-1.5) vs GIANTX GC (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Gentle Mates GC and GIANTX GC are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Valorant match on 11 May at 11:00 AM ET as part of the VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage. The 99% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects strong conviction that the match will be played and completed to a decisive result. The settlement window closes at 21:10 UTC on 11 May, allowing approximately ten hours from scheduled start time for the fixture to conclude. Resolution hinges on match completion; cancellation, postponement beyond seven days, or an unfinished state would trigger 50-50 settlement regardless of interim scoreline.
VCT Game Changers matches have maintained consistent scheduling adherence throughout 2024 and early 2025, with cancellations or extended delays remaining rare. Group stage fixtures typically proceed on schedule absent unforeseen circumstances affecting venue or team availability. The extreme probability skew suggests market participants view infrastructure and logistical risk as minimal for this fixture.
Traders should monitor official VCT announcements for any last-minute roster changes, technical issues, or scheduling adjustments in the 24 hours preceding the match. Recent VCT communications have been distributed through the official Valorant Champions Tour channels and team social media accounts. The absence of pre-match disruption signals in recent days supports the high completion probability, though technical failures during broadcast or unexpected team unavailability remain tail risks that could trigger alternative settlement conditions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valeskatwitch. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valeskatwitch. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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