Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp GC and ZennIT Orange GC in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 5 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp GC" if Karmine Corp GC win the match against ZennIT Orange GC. This market will resolve to "ZennIT Orange GC" if ZennIT Orange GC win the match against Karmine Corp GC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs ZennIT Orange GC (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Karmine Corp GC and ZennIT Orange GC are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Valorant match on 5 May 2026 as part of the VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage. The settlement window closes at 21:10 UTC that day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for match completion, indicating traders are pricing in near-certainty that the fixture will be played and produce a decisive winner within the scheduled window.
Karmine Corp GC has established itself as a dominant force in Game Changers EMEA, consistently reaching playoffs and maintaining competitive depth across rosters. ZennIT Orange GC, whilst a credible regional competitor, has historically faced steeper challenges in securing consistent group stage results against top-tier opposition. The 100% probability suggests the market is anchored to Karmine Corp's favoured status rather than reflecting genuine uncertainty about match occurrence; comparable fixtures in Game Changers EMEA rarely face cancellation or extended delays, with Riot's scheduling typically accommodating the professional calendar.
Traders should monitor official VCT announcements regarding roster changes, player availability, or venue complications in the days preceding 5 May. Recent fixture disruptions in esports have typically stemmed from unforeseen player illness or equipment failures rather than organisational issues. The settlement condition includes a 50-50 resolution if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion, creating a tail-risk threshold that currently appears underpriced relative to historical Game Changers reliability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ZennIT Orange GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$534 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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