Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the StarCraft II match between Shameless and Cure in the WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group A, initially scheduled for June 2 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shameless" if Shameless win the match against Cure. This market will resolve to "Cure" if Cure win the match against Shameless. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: Cure (-1.5) vs Shameless (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Shameless and Cure are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three StarCraft II match on 2 June at 9:00 AM ET as part of WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2. The current order book on Polymarket prices Shameless's victory at 10%, reflecting substantial backing for Cure. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity rather than algorithmic modelling, with the spread between bid and ask orders determining the implied likelihood visible to incoming traders.
Shameless has historically struggled against top-tier Protoss players, whilst Cure represents one of the most consistent Protoss competitors in the professional circuit. Recent WardiTV tournaments have shown Cure advancing through group stages with relative consistency, whereas Shameless has faced elimination in comparable formats. The 10% probability assigned to Shameless reflects this historical disparity in head-to-head records and tournament performance across similar competitive structures.
Traders should monitor schedule confirmations through WardiTV's official channels, as any postponement beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Equipment issues or player availability announcements in the days preceding 2 June could shift the order book materially. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on 2 June, providing a defined endpoint for position management. Any forfeit or incomplete match completion also carries specific resolution conditions outlined in the market terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/wardiii. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "StarCraft II: Shameless vs Cure (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$515 in lifetime turnover and $514K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $515 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/wardiii. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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