Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Round 2 match between All Gamers and FURIA Esports in the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 8:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "All Gamers" if All Gamers win the match against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against All Gamers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
All Gamers will face FURIA Esports in a best-of-one match during the group stage of the BLAST R6 Major in Salt Lake City, scheduled for 10 May at 8:15PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for "YES" (All Gamers victory), indicating traders are pricing in an exceptionally lopsided matchup or significant uncertainty about match execution itself.
FURIA Esports has established itself as a consistent top-tier competitor in Rainbow Six Siege esports, regularly contending in international tournaments and regional competitions. All Gamers, by contrast, operates at a lower competitive tier within the professional circuit. Historical precedent suggests that when established international sides face regional or lower-ranked opponents in major tournaments, the favourites typically command 70–85% implied probability rather than the extreme 100% currently observed. The current pricing likely reflects either severe information asymmetry amongst traders or concerns about match completion rather than genuine confidence in All Gamers' competitive superiority.
Traders should monitor official BLAST communications and the R6 esports schedule for any postponements, roster changes, or technical issues that could affect match execution. The settlement window extends to 11 May at 06:30 UTC, providing a one-day buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Given the best-of-one format and international tournament context, connection stability and equipment reliability will be critical factors. Any announcement regarding player availability or venue complications could trigger significant repricing before the match begins.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/rainbow6. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Rainbow Six Siege: All Gamers vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/rainbow6. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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