Trade: LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Vivo Keyd Stars and LOS in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against LOS. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $8K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Game 1 Winner | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: VKS (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5) | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Match Winner | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in a lower bracket first-round best-of-five match within the CBLOL (Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends) playoffs, scheduled for 23 May at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances in the lower bracket whilst the loser is eliminated from the tournament. Polymarket's current order book reflects a 54% implied probability for Vivo Keyd Stars, suggesting modest favouritism but meaningful uncertainty around the outcome.
Vivo Keyd Stars have historically been a mid-tier CBLOL organisation, whilst LOS represents a lower-seeded challenger. In recent CBLOL seasons, lower bracket matchups between teams of comparable calibre have shown volatile results, particularly when one side enters with momentum from the regular season. The 54% probability sits within the range typical for matches where the favourite holds a slight edge but lacks dominant recent form or head-to-head advantage that would justify stronger conviction.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as player availability directly impacts competitive balance in best-of-five formats. Schedule adherence matters significantly given the settlement window's 7-day tolerance; any postponement beyond 30 May without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent CBLOL coverage from esports news outlets should clarify team preparation status and any injury concerns. The current probability may shift substantially if either organisation releases updated roster information or if pre-match analysis surfaces tactical advantages for the underdog.
Wikipedia Context
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LoliconIn Japanese popular culture, lolicon is a genre of fictional media which focuses on young or young-looking girl characters, particularly in a sexually suggestive, fetishistic or erotic context. The term, a portmanteau of the English-language phrase "Lolita complex", also refers to desire and affection for such characters, and their fans. Associated mainly w
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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