Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and GAM Esports in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win the match against GAM Esports. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, the Japanese League of Legends representative, faces GAM Esports of Vietnam in a best-of-three LCP Regular Season fixture scheduled for 10 May at 07:30 ET. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity in the market's early formation or a consensus view that Hawks Gaming enters as heavy favourites. Settlement occurs at 17:15 UTC on the scheduled date, with tie or cancellation scenarios resolving to 50-50.
Japanese regional teams have historically dominated cross-regional matchups against Southeast Asian opposition in League of Legends, though GAM Esports remains a competitive Vietnamese outfit with occasional upset potential. The Hawks Gaming franchise, backed by the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks baseball organisation, competes in Japan's top-tier league and typically fields rosters with higher individual mechanical skill. However, regional meta differences and preparation gaps can create volatility in such fixtures.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and any schedule changes closer to the fixture date, as LCP fixtures occasionally face delays or cancellations due to visa issues or technical problems. Recent performance data from both teams' domestic leagues—the Japanese LJL and Vietnamese LCP—will provide clearer calibration of relative strength. Any significant roster changes or coaching adjustments announced in the week prior could shift the probability substantially from its current extreme position. The settlement window's seven-day grace period means delays without resolution would trigger the 50-50 outcome, a tail risk worth pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lolpacificen. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$113K in lifetime turnover and $2.3M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $111K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lolpacificen. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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