Trade: LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between RED Canids and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against Fluxo W7M. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against RED Canids. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $10K
- Total Volume
- $100
- 24h Volume
- $100
- Open Interest
- $100
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 80% YES | 21% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 74% YES | 26% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
RED Canids face Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL upper bracket semifinal on 16 May, with the match scheduled for 12:00 PM ET. This best-of-five encounter determines who advances directly to the finals, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 79% implied probability for RED Canids, pricing them as clear favourites in this matchup.
RED Canids have established themselves as a top-tier CBLOL side, consistently finishing in playoff contention and demonstrating strong macro play and team coordination throughout the regular season. Fluxo W7M, whilst competitive, have historically occupied a tier below the league's elite franchises. The 79% probability aligns with RED Canids' superior seeding position and regular-season performance metrics. Comparable semifinal matchups in CBLOL history show that higher-seeded teams with stronger regular-season records convert playoff advantages at rates between 75–85%, suggesting the current odds sit within established precedent for this stage of competition.
Traders should monitor roster health and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 12:00 PM ET start time, as player absences have occasionally shifted playoff outcomes in regional leagues. The match timing falls within the standard CBLOL broadcast window, reducing cancellation risk. No recent announcements suggest scheduling complications or format changes. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 16 May, providing a seven-hour buffer beyond the scheduled match completion, though delays beyond this point would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
Wikipedia Context
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Lol CremeLaurence Neil "Lol" Creme is an English musician and music video director, best known for his work in 10cc. He was later one half of the duo Godley & Creme, with 10cc drummer Kevin Godley. Creme has collaborated with Trevor Horn's Band. He sings and plays guitar, bass and keyboards.
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Lou Reed discographyAmerican rock musician Lou Reed released 22 studio albums, 19 compilation albums, 18 live albums, 16 video albums, 52 singles, 1 extended play, 16 music videos, and 12 box-sets.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$100 in lifetime turnover and $10K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $100 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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