Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between LOS and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against Fluxo W7M. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against LOS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 70% YES | 31% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 62% YES | 39% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 60% YES | 40% NO |
LOS and Fluxo W7M are set to compete in the upper bracket quarterfinal of the CBLOL (Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends) playoffs on 9 May at 12:00 PM ET. This best-of-five series determines advancement in Brazil's premier League of Legends competition. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a near-even matchup, with LOS priced at 51% implied probability, suggesting marginal favouritism amongst traders but substantial uncertainty about the outcome.
The CBLOL's competitive landscape has shifted considerably over recent seasons, with historically dominant organisations facing challenges from emerging rosters. LOS and Fluxo W7M both qualified for playoffs, indicating baseline competitive capability, though their regular season performance and head-to-head records provide the clearest reference points for assessing relative strength. Teams' playoff trajectories often diverge sharply from regular season form due to meta shifts, roster adjustments, and preparation intensity. The near-50-50 split in current pricing reflects genuine competitive parity rather than information asymmetry.
Traders should monitor roster announcements, scrim results leaking through community channels, and any schedule changes in the days preceding 9 May. The settlement window closes 10 May at 22:00 UTC, allowing a one-day buffer for potential delays. Patch changes affecting champion viability or itemisation can significantly alter preparation priorities for both teams. Watch for injury or visa complications affecting key players, which occasionally surface in Brazilian esports reporting. The match's position as a quarterfinal means both teams enter with full motivation, reducing the likelihood of strategic underperformance.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$74K in lifetime turnover and $350K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $65K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: