Trade: LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Heretics Academy and UCAM Esports Club in the LES Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win the match against UCAM Esports Club. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win the match against Team Heretics Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $23K
- Total Volume
- $724
- 24h Volume
- $724
- Open Interest
- $560
Market outcomes
| Game 1 Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 70% YES | 30% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Match Winner | 83% YES | 18% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 59% YES | 41% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) | 51% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Team Heretics Academy will face UCAM Esports Club in the League of Legends Spanish league (LES) Grand Final on 5 June, with the match scheduled for 11:00 AM ET. The best-of-five format determines the regional champions. Current pricing on Polymarket's order book reflects a 71% implied probability for Heretics Academy, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites heading into the fixture.
Heretics Academy operates within one of Europe's established esports organisations and typically fields competitive rosters in regional competition. UCAM Esports Club represents a smaller Spanish academy programme. Historical LES finals have generally favoured teams with stronger infrastructure and consistent scrim results, though regional upsets do occur. The 71% probability aligns with conventional expectations when a larger organisation faces a smaller challenger in a domestic final, though the specific matchup dynamics—roster strength, recent form, and meta adaptation—ultimately determine outcomes that can deviate substantially from baseline assumptions.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or last-minute substitutions before 5 June, as player availability directly impacts competitive performance. Schedule confirmation remains critical given the settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on the scheduled date; any delay beyond seven days without a determined winner triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent LES coverage and team scrim results posted to esports databases or team social channels typically provide the most current form indicators in the days preceding the match.
Wikipedia Context
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Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/LES. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$724 in lifetime turnover and $23K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $724 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/LES. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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