Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Hanwha Life Esports and T1 in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 30% YES | 70% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 37% YES | 63% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 38% YES | 63% NO |
Hanwha Life Esports will face T1 in a best-of-five League of Legends match during the LCK Road to MSI tournament on 12 June 2026, with the fixture scheduled for 4:00 AM ET. The winner advances through the regional qualification bracket towards the Mid-Season Invitational. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 50–50 implied probability, suggesting traders perceive near-parity between the two squads heading into this fixture.
T1 remains the LCK's most decorated franchise with multiple world championships, though recent seasons have seen competitive depth increase across the league. Hanwha Life Esports has demonstrated improvement in recent splits but historically trails T1 in head-to-head records and playoff performance. The 50–50 pricing likely reflects uncertainty around current roster form, recent patch adaptations, and whether either team has momentum entering the Road to MSI stage. Historical matchup data and recent LCK standings would provide context for whether this probability undervalues either squad.
Traders should monitor official LCK announcements regarding any roster changes, player injuries, or schedule adjustments prior to the settlement window closing on 12 June at 14:00 UTC. The match's 4:00 AM ET start time in North America may affect live-betting liquidity and information flow. Any delays extending beyond seven days without a completed result would trigger a 50–50 resolution per market rules. Recent LCK broadcast schedules and team statements regarding preparation should inform position sizing.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$20K in lifetime turnover and $53K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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