Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 76% YES | 25% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 25% YES | 75% NO |
Hanwha Life Esports face Dplus KIA in the upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 12 May 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The winner advances directly to the finals, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. Both teams compete in the LCK, South Korea's premier League of Legends league, where consistent performance across the regular season typically correlates with playoff success. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 76% implied probability for Hanwha Life Esports victory, pricing them as clear favourites.
Historical matchup data between these organisations and their respective regular season performances provide context for the current probability. Dplus KIA have demonstrated resilience in high-stakes matches despite occasional regular season inconsistency, whilst Hanwha Life Esports have maintained stronger consistency. The 24-point probability gap suggests the market views Hanwha as substantially more likely to advance, though not overwhelmingly so—typical for a semifinal between two LCK-calibre teams where upsets remain plausible.
Traders should monitor roster changes, scrim results, and any last-minute schedule adjustments prior to the settlement window closing on 12 May at 16:00 UTC. Recent LCK playoff formats have remained stable, reducing cancellation risk. Injury announcements or unexpected roster swaps in the days immediately preceding the match could shift the order book materially, particularly if they affect either team's mid or ADC positions, which historically drive win probability in LCK matchups.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19K in lifetime turnover and $168K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $16K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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