Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between DetonatioN FocusMe Academy and Arneb in the LJL Regular Season, initially scheduled for June 3 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe Academy" if DetonatioN FocusMe Academy win the match against Arneb. This market will resolve to "Arneb" if Arneb win the match against DetonatioN FocusMe Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: ARB (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe Academy (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
DetonatioN FocusMe Academy, the secondary roster of Japan's DetonatioN FocusMe organisation, will face Arneb in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LJL (Japan League) regular season on 3 June 2026 at 04:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero implied probability for a DetonatioN FocusMe Academy victory, suggesting either minimal trading activity or strong market conviction toward Arneb. This pricing typically reflects either a significant skill gap favoured by recent match data or low liquidity in the market, where even small positions can skew the visible probability substantially.
DetonatioN FocusMe Academy competes as a developmental team within Japan's competitive ecosystem. Historical context matters here: academy rosters in regional leagues often struggle against established organisations, though outcomes depend heavily on roster composition and whether academy teams field players on loan from stronger lineups. The LJL's competitive structure has seen academy teams improve incrementally, but they remain underdogs in most matchups against established competitors.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and any last-minute substitutions prior to the 3 June fixture, as player availability directly affects competitive balance. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on 3 June, providing a narrow window for market movement once match results are confirmed. Any schedule delays beyond 7 days trigger a 50-50 resolution, a tail risk worth tracking given potential broadcast or logistical complications in regional esports scheduling.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/leagueoflegendsjp. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe Academy vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/leagueoflegendsjp. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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