Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 2 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and Deep Cross Gaming in the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win the match against Deep Cross Gaming. This market will resolve to "Deep Cross Gaming" if Deep Cross Gaming win the match against CTBC Flying Oyster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
CTBC Flying Oyster and Deep Cross Gaming will contest a lower bracket round two match in the League of Legends Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs on 13 May at 05:00 ET. The winner advances further in the regional qualifier; the loser is eliminated from this qualification pathway. The match is scheduled as a best-of-three series. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability split between both teams, suggesting traders perceive this as a genuine toss-up given available information on team strength and recent form.
Both organisations compete in the broader Asian League of Legends ecosystem, where regional performance data and head-to-head records provide the primary basis for assessing relative capability. Historical matchups between Taiwanese and other regional representatives in similar qualifier formats show considerable variance in outcomes, particularly when teams occupy similar competitive tiers. The even probability distribution reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favourite emerging from recent tournament results or roster changes.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding any schedule adjustments, player availability confirmations, or roster modifications in the days preceding the match. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 13 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for official results confirmation. Any match postponement beyond seven days without a determined winner triggers automatic market resolution to "No," a condition traders should track through official Esports World Cup communications and regional league updates.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://gol.gg/esports/home. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playof" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$123K in lifetime turnover and $1 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $122K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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