Esports

Trade: LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION Challengers and Dplus KIA Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 12 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION Challengers" if HANJIN BRION Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against HANJIN BRION Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$21K
Total Volume
$2K
24h Volume
$2K
Open Interest
$1K
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Market outcomes

Odd/Even Total Kills 50% YES50% NO
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 25% YES75% NO
Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% YES33% NO
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 25% YES76% NO
Any Player Quadra Kill 26% YES75% NO
Any Player Penta Kill 24% YES76% NO
Odd/Even Total Kills 50% YES50% NO
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% YES49% NO

Market context

HANJIN BRION Challengers face Dplus KIA Challengers in a best-of-three match within South Korea's LCK Challengers League, scheduled for 12 May at 6:00 AM ET. The Challengers League serves as the secondary competitive tier beneath the main LCK, featuring academy rosters and developing talent from organisations within the broader T1, Gen.G, and DRX ecosystem. Dplus KIA fields a roster connected to the main LCK organisation, whilst HANJIN BRION operates as an independent challenger team. The match settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on 12 May, with cancellation or delays beyond seven days triggering a no-contest resolution.

Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects a 50% implied probability, suggesting traders perceive near-parity between both sides. Historical LCK Challengers matchups typically show main-organisation academy teams (such as Dplus KIA's roster) holding marginal advantages in preparation depth and coaching infrastructure, though upsets remain common in the secondary league where roster stability fluctuates. The even split may reflect uncertainty around recent roster changes or scrim performance data not yet public.

Traders should monitor LCK official announcements regarding any schedule adjustments, player availability, or format changes in the coming weeks. Scrim results occasionally surface through Korean esports forums and team social media ahead of matches, potentially shifting market expectations. Weather or facility issues affecting the broadcast venue could trigger delays; the settlement window's seven-day buffer provides some protection against minor scheduling shifts.

Wikipedia Context

  • Lindsay Lohan
    Lindsay Lohan

    Lindsay Dee Lohan is an American actress, singer, and songwriter. She was signed to Ford Models at the age of three, and gained early recognition as a child actress on the soap operas Guiding Light (1993) and Another World (1996–1997). Her breakthrough role came with the dual role of reunited identical twins in the Walt Disney comedy The Parent Trap (1998);

  • Loy Hanning

    Loy Vernon Hanning was an American Major League Baseball pitcher. He played parts of two seasons in the majors, 1939 and 1942, for the St. Louis Browns.

  • Dina Lohan
    Dina Lohan

    Donata Melina Nicolette "Dina" Lohan is an American television personality who rose to fame as the mother and manager of actress Lindsay Lohan. She is also the mother of Michael Jr., Aliana and Dakota Lohan.

  • Lindsay Lohan discography
    Lindsay Lohan discography

    American actress and singer Lindsay Lohan has released two studio albums and six singles. While acting in the Disney films Freaky Friday (2003) and Confessions of a Teenage Drama Queen (2004), Lohan began recording songs for the soundtracks. In September 2002, Emilio Estefan, Jr. had signed Lohan to a five-album contract. The deal was later scrapped and Loha

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$2K in lifetime turnover and $21K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.

Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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