Trade: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $24K
- Total Volume
- $8
- 24h Volume
- $8
- Open Interest
- $8
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) | 37% YES | 63% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 27% YES | 74% NO |
Market context
Team Spirit and Team Liquid will contest a best-of-three Dota 2 match in DreamLeague's Group A stage on 13 May at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Team Spirit's victory at 36 per cent, implying Liquid as favourites at 64 per cent. This probability reflects real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the spread between bid and ask orders shaping the mid-market price traders see today.
Team Liquid have historically held stronger performances in group-stage tournaments over the past eighteen months, with a higher consistency record against top-tier opposition. Team Spirit, conversely, show volatility in regular-season play but have demonstrated capacity for upset victories in high-stakes elimination formats. Recent Dota 2 group stages suggest that seeding and pre-tournament expectations often compress towards 55–65 per cent ranges for established favourites, placing Liquid's current 64 per cent within typical market calibration for a matchup between two top-ten teams.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute stand-in announcements, which can shift win probabilities sharply. DreamLeague's official schedule and team social media remain the primary sources for fixture changes or delays. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 13 May, allowing roughly twenty-two hours post-scheduled start time for the match to conclude; any postponement beyond 7 days triggers a 50–50 resolution. Recent patch notes and hero meta shifts in the days preceding the match may also influence team preparation depth and confidence levels.
Wikipedia Context
-
DOTA-TATEDOTA-TATE is an eight amino acid long peptide, with a covalently bonded DOTA bifunctional chelator.
-
Dora TamanaDora Ntloko Tamana OLG was a prominent South African anti-apartheid activist known for her unwavering commitment to social justice, equality and gender issues. Her life and work were dedicated to challenging the oppressive apartheid regime in South Africa. Her experiences with the injustices perpetrated under apartheid fueled her determination to fight for
-
Multiplayer online battle arena
Multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) is a subgenre of strategy video games in which two teams of players compete on a structured battlefield, each controlling a single character with distinctive abilities that grow stronger as the match progresses. The objective is to destroy the enemy team's main structure while defending one's own. In some MOBA games, th
-
Dog Team Tavern
The Dog Team Tavern was a restaurant located on Dog Team Road, off U.S. Route 7, roughly 4 mi (6.4 km) north of the town of Middlebury, Vermont in Addison County. It was located geographically in the Champlain Valley of the Green Mountains, the Vermont part of the Appalachian Mountain range. The restaurant burned down in early September 2006, destroying arti
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$8 in lifetime turnover and $24K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: