Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between GamerLegion and Vici Gaming in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against GamerLegion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 27% YES | 73% NO |
GamerLegion and Vici Gaming are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Dota 2 match within DreamLeague's Group A stage on 13 May at 1:00 PM ET. The fixture forms part of the broader competitive Dota 2 calendar and will determine seeding implications for both squads within the tournament structure. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for a GamerLegion victory, suggesting near-parity in market expectations despite the teams' differing regional standings and recent form trajectories.
Historical matchup data and regional performance metrics provide context for interpreting this probability. Vici Gaming represents the Chinese competitive scene, where they maintain consistent top-tier status within their region's ecosystem. GamerLegion, competing primarily within the European circuit, has demonstrated variable performance across recent LAN events. Previous encounters between European and Chinese representatives at DreamLeague tournaments have historically favoured the Chinese contingent, though individual team strength fluctuates considerably season-to-season. The near-even split in current pricing suggests traders are weighting recent roster changes and patch adaptations as offsetting traditional regional advantages.
Traders should monitor official DreamLeague scheduling announcements for any postponements or format changes, as the settlement window extends only seven days beyond the scheduled date. Roster confirmation from both organisations ahead of the match window remains critical, given that competitive Dota 2 frequently experiences last-minute personnel adjustments. Recent patch updates and hero pool shifts will influence team preparation timelines, potentially affecting performance variance on match day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $22K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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