Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between enjoy boys and Two Move in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "enjoy boys" if enjoy boys win the match against Two Move. This market will resolve to "Two Move" if Two Move win the match against enjoy boys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: enjoy boys (-1.5) vs Two Move (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs enjoy boys (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The European Pro League Playoffs upper bracket quarterfinal between enjoy boys and Two Move is scheduled for 8 May at 8:00 AM ET, with settlement closing 2 May at 00:35 UTC. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at the ask side or genuine conviction that enjoy boys will not advance. This pricing is unusual for a competitive match between established European Dota 2 rosters and warrants scrutiny of the underlying matchup dynamics and team form.
Two Move has demonstrated stronger recent performance in European qualifiers and regional tournaments, establishing themselves as favourites in most conventional betting markets. enjoy boys, whilst a recognised competitive entity, has faced inconsistent results in 2024–2025 qualifying rounds. The 0% probability on Polymarket likely stems from shallow order depth rather than absolute certainty; similar esports matchups with clear favourites typically trade between 20–35% for the underdog. Historical resolution patterns in Dota 2 playoff markets show that upsets occur in roughly 15–20% of quarterfinal encounters, particularly when teams have limited recent head-to-head data.
Traders should monitor official EPL scheduling confirmations and any roster changes announced before 7 May, as player substitutions or illness have occasionally altered expected outcomes in regional playoffs. Recent patch updates to Dota 2 (last major patch in April 2025) may favour certain team compositions; tracking which heroes each roster practised during scrims provides indirect signals of preparation confidence. Match delays beyond the 7-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a material tail risk given occasional broadcast scheduling conflicts in European esports.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/epldota_en2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/epldota_en2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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