Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Vexa and BESTIA Academy in the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 15 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vexa" if Vexa win the match against BESTIA Academy. This market will resolve to "BESTIA Academy" if BESTIA Academy win the match against Vexa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 62% YES | 39% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Map Handicap: VEXA (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5) | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Vexa and BESTIA Academy will contest a Counter-Strike best-of-three match in the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, scheduled for 15 May at 3:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Vexa's victory at 57%, reflecting modest favouritism despite both teams operating within the same regional competitive ecosystem. This probability has formed through standard market mechanisms: traders pricing in roster strength, recent form, and head-to-head records where available, with the spread suggesting genuine uncertainty rather than consensus conviction.
BESTIA Academy represents one of South America's established academy-tier programmes, whilst Vexa operates as a developing squad within the region's tier-two circuit. Historical CCT South America tournaments have shown academy teams capable of competitive performances against slightly higher-ranked opposition, though consistency remains variable. The 57-43 split reflects this competitive proximity rather than a clear skill gap; similar matchups in regional qualifiers typically settle within this probability range when teams lack extensive recent head-to-head data.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding the match, as South American esports organisations occasionally field substitutes without advance notice. The settlement window extends to 16 May at 01:00 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Any delay exceeding seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome, a mechanism that becomes relevant if organisers reschedule due to technical issues or unforeseen circumstances affecting the CCT calendar.
Counter-Strike (CS) is a series of multiplayer tactical first-person shooter video games, in which opposing teams attempt to complete various objectives. The series began on Windows in 1999 with the release of the first game, Counter-Strike. It was initially released as a mod for Half-Life that was designed by Minh Le and Jess Cliffe before the rights to the
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$406 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $406 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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