Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between TYLOO and Ground Zero in the Asian Champions League Group A, initially scheduled for May 11 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against Ground Zero. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero" if Ground Zero win the match against TYLOO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5) | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
TYLOO and Ground Zero are scheduled to compete in an upper bracket quarterfinal match of the Asian Champions League Group A on 11 May at 01:00 ET, with the winner advancing further in the tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability for TYLOO, suggesting the market perceives them as clear favourites in this best-of-three series.
TYLOO has established itself as one of Asia's premier Counter-Strike organisations, with consistent performances in regional competitions and occasional appearances in international events. Ground Zero, whilst a legitimate regional competitor, typically operates at a lower tier within the Asian circuit. Historical matchups between established regional powerhouses and mid-tier teams in Asian esports tournaments have generally favoured the higher-seeded organisations, though upsets do occur at meaningful frequency—roughly 15-25% of the time in comparable BO3 scenarios. The 75% probability aligns with this historical baseline for a matchup between a top-tier and secondary-tier regional team.
Traders should monitor official Asian Champions League communications for any schedule changes, as the settlement window extends only seven days beyond the match date before triggering a 50-50 resolution on delays. Technical issues during play—which have affected previous Asian regional tournaments—could also trigger alternative resolution conditions. Roster confirmations and recent team form updates from regional esports news outlets will provide additional context on whether the current probability accurately reflects competitive positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/churchd0gg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30K in lifetime turnover and $73K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $30K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/churchd0gg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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