Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between TYLOO and 5star in the Asian Champions League Group A, initially scheduled for May 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against 5star. This market will resolve to "5star" if 5star win the match against TYLOO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 83% YES | 18% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5) | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
TYLOO and 5star will contest the lower bracket final of the Asian Champions League Group A Counter-Strike tournament on 14 May at 04:00 ET. The match is a best-of-three series, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the competition. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 66% implied probability for TYLOO, suggesting the market views them as the stronger favourite heading into this fixture.
TYLOO have established themselves as a consistent presence in Asian Counter-Strike over recent years, regularly competing in regional and international tournaments. 5star, whilst competitive, have historically occupied a lower tier within the regional hierarchy. Previous matchups between regional teams of differing calibre typically see the higher-ranked side prevail in best-of-three formats at roughly 65–70% frequency, which aligns with the current probability. The scheduling places this match in the early morning hours for Western traders, potentially affecting liquidity and order book depth on Polymarket.
Key variables affecting settlement include roster stability—any last-minute player substitutions or visa issues could alter competitive balance—and technical factors such as server selection and map pool composition, which can favour particular playstyles. The seven-day grace period for delays provides some buffer against fixture postponement, though esports tournaments occasionally reschedule without warning. Traders should monitor official Asian Champions League announcements and team social media for any updates regarding participation or scheduling changes in the days preceding the match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/acl. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$366 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $366 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/acl. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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