Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Spirit and The Huns Esports in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against The Huns Esports. This market will resolve to "The Huns Esports" if The Huns Esports win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Spirit and The Huns Esports are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the PGL Astana Group Stage on 9 May at 07:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing Spirit at 100% implied probability, reflecting near-certainty of their victory. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when liquidity remains thin early in a market's lifecycle, allowing even modest backing to push prices to extremes.
Spirit rank among Europe's top Counter-Strike sides, with consistent performances in tier-one events and a stable roster. The Huns Esports, by contrast, represent a significantly lower competitive tier. Historical matchups between teams of this calibre differential—where one side competes regularly at international level and the other primarily in regional circuits—have settled overwhelmingly in favour of the stronger squad. However, 100% pricing leaves no margin for upsets, technical disruptions, or the inherent variance present in best-of-three formats, where a single map upset can shift momentum.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmation closer to the scheduled date, as PGL events occasionally experience delays or rescheduling. The settlement window extends to 16:00 ET on 9 May, providing a six-hour buffer beyond the 07:00 start time. Any roster changes, player illness, or technical issues affecting either team in the days preceding the match could alter the competitive landscape. Early liquidity on the order book may shift materially once the match approaches and casual traders enter the market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/PGL. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$303K in lifetime turnover and $1.9M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $300K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/PGL. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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