Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between SINQU and KUUSAMO.gg in the European Pro League Regular Group C, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SINQU" if SINQU win the match against KUUSAMO.gg. This market will resolve to "KUUSAMO.gg" if KUUSAMO.gg win the match against SINQU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Map Handicap: KSM (-1.5) vs SINQU (+1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
SINQU and KUUSAMO.gg are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike best-of-three elimination match within the European Pro League's Regular Group C on 11 May at 04:00 ET. The fixture determines advancement within the league's group stage structure. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects a 47% implied probability for SINQU victory, suggesting near-parity between the two squads in the eyes of active traders, though with a modest lean towards KUUSAMO.gg.
European regional Counter-Strike rosters at this competitive tier typically exhibit volatile performance across map pools and meta shifts. SINQU and KUUSAMO.gg operate within a crowded Tier-2 ecosystem where roster stability, recent bootcamp results, and map veto strategy carry outsized influence on single-elimination outcomes. Historical precedent from comparable EPL group stage fixtures shows that teams separated by marginal skill gaps often trade at 45–55% probability bands, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than clear form differentials.
Traders should monitor team roster announcements and any lineup changes through to the settlement window closure on 11 May. Fixture delays beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution per market terms, creating tail risk if scheduling complications emerge. Recent league communications regarding match scheduling and any public statements from either organisation regarding preparation or player availability will inform whether current pricing adequately reflects execution risk. Map pool compatibility and recent scrim results, where disclosed, may shift the probability if new information surfaces before match start.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/eplcs_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: SINQU vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$25K in lifetime turnover and $31K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $25K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/eplcs_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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