Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Sinners and NRG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 2 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against NRG. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Sinners. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sinners and NRG are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match during Round 2 of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 on 2 June at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at YES, with the crowd-implied probability reflecting minimal backing for a Sinners victory. This absence of trading activity suggests either extreme confidence in NRG's chances or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful price discovery mechanism at present.
NRG has maintained a stronger international standing in recent months, with consistent placements at tier-one events, whilst Sinners have experienced roster instability and variable performances across 2024 and early 2025. Historical precedent indicates that matches between established North American organisations and European mid-tier teams typically favour the former when seeding and recent form diverge substantially. The 0% implied probability likely reflects NRG's favoured status rather than absolute certainty.
Traders should monitor official IEM communications for any schedule adjustments or roster confirmations in the days preceding the match. Recent fixture delays at major tournaments have occasionally extended beyond the seven-day threshold, triggering 50-50 resolutions. Additionally, last-minute stand-ins or visa complications affecting either squad could alter competitive balance materially. The settlement window closes at 22:45 UTC on 2 June, allowing approximately 21 hours post-scheduled start time for match completion and resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$339K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $339K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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