Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Sharks and BET-M 33 in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sharks" if Sharks win the match against BET-M 33. This market will resolve to "BET-M 33" if BET-M 33 win the match against Sharks. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs BET-M 33 (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sharks and BET-M 33 are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match on 2 May at 5:00 AM ET as part of the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Sharks, indicating near-complete certainty amongst traders that Sharks will prevail. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team has substantially superior recent form, roster strength, or established head-to-head record against the opponent.
Closed qualifier playoffs in Counter-Strike often feature significant variance in team preparation and motivation, particularly when squads are competing for spots in larger tournaments. Historical precedent suggests that matches with 95%+ implied probabilities in regional qualifiers occasionally resolve against the favourite, particularly when the underdog has recent roster changes, bootcamp preparation, or tactical innovations. The settlement window extends to 3 May, allowing seven days for the match to conclude; delays beyond this threshold would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Traders monitoring this market should track any roster announcements, withdrawal notices, or schedule changes from Stake or the event organisers in the 24 hours preceding the match. Technical issues or server problems during play could affect completion; the market's resolution criteria specify that matches abandoned mid-series without a winner declared will split 50-50. Current liquidity and the extreme probability skew suggest limited opportunity for contrarian positioning unless new information emerges regarding team availability or competitive readiness.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/starladder. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$38K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/starladder. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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