Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SE7ENS Esport and Aurora Young Blood in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SE7ENS Esport" if SE7ENS Esport win the match against Aurora Young Blood. This market will resolve to "Aurora Young Blood" if Aurora Young Blood win the match against SE7ENS Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
SE7ENS Esport face Aurora Young Blood in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, scheduled for 13 May at 2:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to SE7ENS victory, reflecting either extreme confidence in Aurora or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price. With settlement occurring on 14 May at 00:15 UTC, traders have approximately 22 hours post-match window to resolve the outcome.
ESEA Advanced Europe operates as a competitive but secondary-tier league within European Counter-Strike, positioned below the Pro division. Historical precedent suggests matches at this level carry meaningful upset potential, particularly in single-elimination formats where preparation variance and map selection favour underdog teams. Aurora Young Blood's designation as a youth roster typically indicates less consistent performance than established squads, though individual player talent can create volatility in isolated matches.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmations and any roster changes announced before the scheduled start time, as ESEA Advanced matches occasionally experience postponements or cancellations due to player availability. Map selection, announced shortly before match start, represents a critical catalyst—certain teams demonstrate pronounced map-pool strengths that can shift expected outcomes substantially. The 0% probability currently reflected suggests either SE7ENS are heavily favoured based on recent form or liquidity remains insufficient to establish meaningful price discovery; confirmation of team lineups and recent match results would provide essential context for assessing whether this probability reflects genuine information or merely thin order books.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: SE7ENS Esport vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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