Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between ex-RUBY and Oxuji Esports in the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 6 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-RUBY" if ex-RUBY win the match against Oxuji Esports. This market will resolve to "Oxuji Esports" if Oxuji Esports win the match against ex-RUBY. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Ex-RUBY will face Oxuji Esports in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, scheduled for 6 May 2026 at 13:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for ex-RUBY's victory, indicating near-certain market consensus. This extreme pricing suggests either overwhelming confidence in ex-RUBY's superiority or minimal liquidity depth at the current price levels, which typically characterises matches involving lesser-known rosters in regional European competition.
CCT Europe tournaments have historically featured volatile match outcomes, particularly in group stages where roster stability and preparation levels vary considerably. Ex-RUBY and Oxuji Esports operate at the tier-two European level, where upsets occur with measurable frequency. The 100% probability pricing is unusual for competitive matches at this tier and warrants scrutiny—such extreme odds often reflect shallow order books rather than genuine certainty about match outcomes.
Key variables affecting settlement include fixture confirmation closer to the scheduled date, potential roster changes or stand-in arrangements, and technical issues that could trigger the tie-resolution clause. Traders should monitor CCT Europe's official announcements and team social media for any schedule adjustments or withdrawal notices. The seven-day grace period for delays provides material settlement risk if either team encounters logistical complications. Current pricing leaves no margin for Oxuji Esports' probability, creating asymmetric risk exposure for contrarian positions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$44K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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