Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Rebels Gaming and HAVU in the CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 31 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Rebels Gaming" if Rebels Gaming win the match against HAVU. This market will resolve to "HAVU" if HAVU win the match against Rebels Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today, backed by $645K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: HAVU (-1.5) vs Rebels Gaming (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: RBLS (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Rebels Gaming face HAVU in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage on 31 May at 13:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Rebels Gaming at 59% implied probability, reflecting modest favouritism despite both teams operating at similar competitive tiers within European regional Counter-Strike. The 41% probability assigned to HAVU suggests the market perceives meaningful uncertainty, typical for matches between squads without decisive recent head-to-head records or clear skill separation.
Historical context for CCT Europe tournaments shows volatility in group stage outcomes, particularly when teams lack established domestic dominance. Rebels Gaming and HAVU have competed sporadically at this level, making direct precedent limited. Similar regional European BO3 fixtures in 2024–2025 have frequently resolved according to map pool advantage and recent LAN form rather than seeding alone. The 59–41 split reflects cautious pricing rather than conviction, suggesting traders view this as genuinely competitive rather than a mismatch.
Key variables include roster stability and recent online results from both organisations. Fixture delays or cancellations remain possible given European tournament scheduling pressures, though CCT Europe maintains relatively reliable match execution. Any roster changes announced before 31 May, or significant recent results from either team's other group matches, could shift the order book materially. Traders should monitor official CCT announcements and team social channels for withdrawal or substitution news, which would alter the match's competitive calculus.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 31 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://kick.com/cct_cs), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($645K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$90K in lifetime turnover and $645K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $90K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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