Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between Omega and Rune Eaters in the FRAGgg Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 31 at 5:18AM ET. This market will resolve to "Omega" if Omega win the match against Rune Eaters. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win the match against Omega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The FRAGgg Playoffs lower bracket final will pit Omega against Rune Eaters in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 31 May at 05:18 ET. The winner advances to the grand final; the loser is eliminated. The match settlement window closes at 15:15 UTC on 31 May, allowing roughly ten hours from the scheduled start time for completion. On Polymarket's order book, the current 0% implied probability for Omega reflects either extreme confidence in Rune Eaters or insufficient liquidity at current pricing, with no meaningful volume established at the ask side.
Lower bracket finals in tier-two competitive Counter-Strike typically see high variance outcomes. Recent comparable tournaments show that seeding and recent form matter substantially, though upset potential remains material—teams facing elimination often perform unpredictably. Without established head-to-head records or recent LAN results between these squads publicly available, traders lack the granular data that would normally anchor probability estimates in established esports markets.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of team rosters and player availability in the days before 31 May, any schedule adjustments from FRAGgg organisers, and technical issues that might trigger the seven-day delay clause. Traders should monitor FRAGgg's official channels and team social media for withdrawal announcements or roster changes. The extremely low liquidity at 0% suggests the market may be awaiting additional information before meaningful positions form, making early entry potentially illiquid but potentially valuable if either team's circumstances shift materially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/x1tten. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Omega vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$990 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/x1tten. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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