Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between OldBoys and tincan in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 27 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "OldBoys" if OldBoys win the match against tincan. This market will resolve to "tincan" if tincan win the match against OldBoys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
OldBoys and tincan are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, with the fixture originally set for 27 April at 14:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating the crowd perceives neither side as favoured. This even pricing typically emerges when teams carry comparable recent form or when insufficient public information exists to differentiate their competitive standing.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a secondary-tier competitive league, and matches at this level often feature volatile outcomes given the variable preparation standards and roster stability across participating organisations. Historical resolution patterns in regional Counter-Strike markets show that scheduling delays beyond the seven-day window occur with measurable frequency, particularly during spring seasons when fixture congestion peaks. Teams at this tier occasionally field substitute players or experience last-minute roster changes that can shift match dynamics substantially.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official fixture announcements and both teams' social media channels for roster confirmations, which typically arrive 24–48 hours before match time. Recent fixture data from ESEA's public standings will indicate current win-loss records and head-to-head history. Any announcement of player absences, stand-ins, or rescheduling requests would represent material information affecting the probability assessment. The settlement window closes 5 May at 23:00 UTC, providing a clear deadline for match completion; fixtures delayed beyond 3 May would face elevated forfeit risk.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ziven_g. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs tincan (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$532 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ziven_g. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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