Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between MIBR and TYLOO in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 2 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against MIBR. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
MIBR and TYLOO are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match during Round 2 of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 on 2 June at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 90% implied probability for MIBR, pricing TYLOO at roughly 10%. This probability spread reflects MIBR's established standing within the competitive Counter-Strike landscape relative to TYLOO's recent form and international performance metrics.
MIBR, the Brazilian organisation, has maintained consistent qualification rates at major tournaments and typically fields players with significant LAN experience. TYLOO, the Chinese roster, has faced inconsistent results in recent international competitions, with limited recent appearances at top-tier events. Historical matchups between Brazilian and Chinese teams at majors have generally favoured established Brazilian squads, though single-map formats introduce higher variance than best-of-three series. The 90% probability reflects confidence in MIBR's relative strength rather than certainty, given the inherent unpredictability of best-of-one play.
Traders should monitor official IEM Cologne scheduling confirmations and any roster changes announced before 2 June, as player absences or substitutions could materially shift match dynamics. The settlement window closes at 22:50 UTC on 2 June, allowing approximately 21 hours after the scheduled start time for match completion. Delays beyond 7 days without a determined winner would trigger a 50-50 resolution, though major tournament matches typically conclude within hours of scheduling. Watch for any official ESL or tournament communications regarding venue, technical issues, or bracket adjustments that could affect fixture timing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$959K in lifetime turnover and $369K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $959K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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