Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between largadosypelados and Turma do Pagode in the Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against Turma do Pagode. This market will resolve to "Turma do Pagode" if Turma do Pagode win the match against largadosypelados. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs will feature a Counter-Strike best-of-three quarterfinal between largadosypelados and Turma do Pagode, scheduled for 8 May at 22:30 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price level, with the implied probability sitting at 0% YES—a reflection of minimal liquidity rather than certainty about the outcome. This liquidity vacuum typically emerges for regional esports fixtures with limited international audience overlap, particularly in Brazilian domestic competitions where trading interest concentrates on higher-profile international events.
Historical precedent suggests that Brazilian regional Counter-Strike matches attract sparse prediction market activity until closer to match day or following roster announcements. largadosypelados and Turma do Pagode operate within Brazil's competitive scene but lack the sponsorship visibility or international LAN presence that drives broader market participation. Recent Brazilian esports coverage has focused on BLAST and ESL events rather than domestic cup competitions, further explaining the current absence of price discovery.
Traders should monitor whether either team announces roster changes or withdrawals before 8 May, as the settlement terms include a 50-50 resolution if the match is cancelled or delayed beyond seven days. The tight settlement window—ending 9 May at 03:40 UTC—leaves minimal buffer for fixture postponements common in regional tournaments. Any liquidity entry will likely arrive within 24 hours of match start, when casual traders typically position ahead of live play.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/vanfantv. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$32K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/vanfantv. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: