Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between largadosypelados and BESTIA Academy in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against BESTIA Academy. This market will resolve to "BESTIA Academy" if BESTIA Academy win the match against largadosypelados. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 85% YES | 15% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 76% YES | 24% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 84% YES | 17% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5) | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
largadosypelados and BESTIA Academy are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Counter-Strike match in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage on 12 May at 4:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability favouring largadosypelados, suggesting the crowd perceives a substantial skill or form differential between the two South American squads. This probability has been established through active trading on the platform's order book, where buyers and sellers have converged on pricing that heavily favours the Argentine-based largadosypelados roster.
Historical precedent in regional South American Counter-Strike tournaments shows that established organisations with consistent rosters tend to outperform academy-level teams by significant margins. BESTIA Academy, as a developmental squad, typically faces steep odds against established competitors. largadosypelados has demonstrated competitive standing in regional circuits, which contextualises the 86% probability as reflecting genuine competitive disparity rather than speculative mispricing. Comparable matchups between academy and established teams in this region have historically resolved in favour of the latter at rates consistent with current market pricing.
Traders should monitor official BetBoom communications for any roster changes, stand-in announcements, or schedule modifications prior to the 20:00 UTC settlement deadline on 12 May. Technical issues or unexpected delays could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause if the match extends beyond seven days without completion. Confirmation of match commencement and final scoreline constitute the primary catalysts determining settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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