Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Isurus and ex-KRÜ Esports in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Isurus" if Isurus win the match against ex-KRÜ Esports. This market will resolve to "ex-KRÜ Esports" if ex-KRÜ Esports win the match against Isurus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 64% YES | 36% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs ex-KRÜ Esports (+1.5) | 44% YES | 56% NO |
Isurus and ex-KRÜ Esports are scheduled to compete in Round 3 of the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, a Counter-Strike tournament match originally set for 15 May at 21:00 UTC. The best-of-three format determines advancement through the group phase. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating genuine uncertainty between the two squads amongst active traders.
Both teams represent the South American Counter-Strike circuit, where roster stability and recent LAN performance carry substantial weight in match outcomes. Isurus has maintained relatively consistent lineup composition, whilst ex-KRÜ Esports underwent significant restructuring following their departure from the KRÜ organisation. Historical matchups between Argentine and Chilean sides in regional tournaments show competitive parity, though individual form fluctuations and map pool advantages often determine results more than raw team strength. The current even split reflects this structural uncertainty rather than consensus favouritism.
Traders should monitor official BetBoom Storm communications for any schedule shifts, as the settlement window extends to 16 May 02:00 UTC—allowing a seven-day buffer for rescheduling. Roster confirmations and recent scrim results, typically shared on team social channels in the 48 hours preceding matches, may shift the order book. Map veto announcements immediately before the match often trigger late trading activity, particularly if either team demonstrates unexpected map pool changes or player substitutions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Isurus vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$515 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $515 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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