Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between FRZ Unit and F5 Esports in the FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FRZ Unit" if FRZ Unit win the match against F5 Esports. This market will resolve to "F5 Esports" if F5 Esports win the match against FRZ Unit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: F5 (-1.5) vs FRZ Unit (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
FRZ Unit and F5 Esports are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the lower bracket round two of the FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs on 30 May at 5:00PM ET. The winner advances in the lower bracket; the loser is eliminated. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for FRZ Unit victory, suggesting the market has priced in an expectation of F5 Esports dominance or uncertainty about match execution itself.
Lower bracket matches in regional Counter-Strike tournaments typically feature teams with uneven competitive histories and roster stability. FRZ Unit's recent form and head-to-head record against F5 Esports would ordinarily inform pricing, though limited public match data from these specific squads constrains historical comparison. Regional playoff brackets often see upsets when lower-seeded teams field motivated rosters or exploit map-specific advantages, yet the 0% probability indicates traders are either heavily confident in F5 Esports or pricing in significant execution risk.
Traders should monitor official FRAG TAP Reloaded communications for roster confirmations, map selections, and any schedule changes before the 31 May settlement deadline. The seven-day delay clause means matches pushed beyond 6 June without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent esports scheduling disruptions have occasionally forced rescheduling; any announcement of postponement or player unavailability would materially affect settlement conditions. Confirmation of both teams' participation status and map pool availability typically emerges 24–48 hours before scheduled play.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: FRZ Unit vs F5 Esports (BO3) - FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$576 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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