Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between FlyQuest and JiJieHao in the Asian Champions League Group A, initially scheduled for May 10 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against JiJieHao. This market will resolve to "JiJieHao" if JiJieHao win the match against FlyQuest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FlyQuest and JiJieHao are scheduled to compete in an upper bracket quarterfinal match of the Asian Champions League Group A Counter-Strike tournament on 10 May at 11:00PM ET. The best-of-three format determines advancement in the regional competition. Current pricing on Polymarket's order book reflects a 95% implied probability favouring FlyQuest, suggesting the market has assessed a substantial skill differential between the two rosters or confidence in FlyQuest's preparation for this fixture.
FlyQuest's positioning at such extreme odds reflects their established standing within Asian Counter-Strike. The organisation has maintained competitive rosters across multiple seasons and typically qualifies for regional playoffs. JiJieHao, by contrast, represents a less documented challenger in this context. Historical precedent from similar regional tournaments shows that upper bracket quarterfinals frequently produce outcomes aligned with seeding, though upsets occur when lesser-known teams exploit preparation gaps or meta shifts. The 95% probability sits within the range typical for heavily favoured sides in best-of-three eliminations where roster quality differences are pronounced.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmation and any roster changes announced before the scheduled start time. Delays beyond seven days trigger the 50-50 resolution condition, creating a distinct risk vector independent of match outcome. Recent tournament schedules in Asian Counter-Strike have generally proceeded as announced, though technical issues or visa complications have occasionally affected regional events. Any announcement regarding substitutions, coaching changes, or scheduling adjustments would materially affect the current pricing structure.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/churchd0gg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$38K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $37K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/churchd0gg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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