Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between eternal premium and NEW VISION in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 12 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "eternal premium" if eternal premium win the match against NEW VISION. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against eternal premium. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Eternal Premium and NEW VISION are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 12 May at 14:30 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 55% implied probability favouring Eternal Premium, suggesting the market perceives them as modest favourites despite the single-map format introducing inherent volatility. In BO1 fixtures, map selection and recent form carry disproportionate weight compared to longer series.
Eternal Premium's recent performance in ESEA Advanced provides the primary historical anchor for positioning. Teams competing at this tier typically show consistency across regular-season fixtures, though roster changes or tactical adjustments can shift matchup dynamics significantly. NEW VISION's standing within the same league structure offers a direct comparable baseline; their head-to-head record and recent map pool performance against similar-ranked opponents inform whether the current 55-45 split adequately prices their chances.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmations and any last-minute roster announcements through ESEA's official schedule and team social channels in the days preceding 12 May. Map selection, typically announced shortly before match start, represents the most material catalyst—certain teams demonstrate pronounced strengths on specific maps that could justify significant probability shifts. Server stability and technical delays occasionally affect ESEA matches; the settlement window extends to 13 May at 00:30 UTC, providing a 7-day buffer for completion, though unfinished matches trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $301 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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