Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Dripmen and FC Famalicão Esports in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dripmen" if Dripmen win the match against FC Famalicão Esports. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão Esports" if FC Famalicão Esports win the match against Dripmen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Dripmen face FC Famalicão Esports in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within ESEA Advanced Europe's regular season, scheduled for 13 May at 1:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability for a Dripmen victory, suggesting market participants view them as clear favourites in this fixture. Settlement occurs at 23:15 UTC on the scheduled date, with a seven-day grace period for delayed matches before resolution defaults to 50-50.
ESEA Advanced Europe operates as a competitive but secondary tier within European Counter-Strike, below the Pro League structure. Historical precedent shows that implied probabilities in the 70-75% range for such matches typically reflect either established roster strength differentials or recent form disparities. Dripmen's current odds positioning suggests either superior recent map performance, stronger individual player ratings, or a documented head-to-head advantage. Famalicão's underdog status at 28% indicates the market perceives meaningful structural disadvantages, though upsets in single-map formats occur at elevated frequency compared to best-of-three series.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes through ESEA's official match pages and team announcements, as substitutions can materially shift competitive balance in single-elimination formats. Server location and map selection—typically determined hours before match start—represent critical catalysts, as certain teams demonstrate pronounced map-specific win rates. Technical delays or cancellations would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating asymmetric payoff scenarios for positions held near the settlement window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/tavarescs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/tavarescs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: