Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Dripmen and FC Famalicão Esports in the CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group D, initially scheduled for May 1 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dripmen" if Dripmen win the match against FC Famalicão Esports. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão Esports" if FC Famalicão Esports win the match against Dripmen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Dripmen face FC Famalicão Esports in a Counter-Strike best-of-three decider match within the CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group D, scheduled for 1 May at 1:00 PM ET. The match determines advancement through the play-in stage. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Dripmen, indicating market participants assess them as heavy favourites. This probability formation suggests either substantial confidence in Dripmen's competitive standing or limited liquidity depth at alternative price levels.
European regional Counter-Strike tournaments typically see significant variance between seeded and unseeded teams, though play-in stages often feature closer matchups than main brackets. Historical CCT Europe events have occasionally produced upsets when lower-ranked teams exploit specific map pools or tactical preparation. The extreme probability pricing here warrants scrutiny—such certainty in esports often reflects either dominant recent form or information asymmetries rather than genuine match dynamics.
Key catalysts include official roster confirmations from both organisations, any last-minute lineup changes, and map pool announcements closer to the scheduled date. The CCT Europe Series maintains published schedules through its official channels, though delays in regional tournaments are not uncommon. The seven-day resolution window provides buffer for rescheduling, but traders should monitor for any fixture postponements or technical issues that could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Current pricing leaves minimal margin for Famalicão, making position entry dependent on conviction regarding the underlying match outcome rather than probability value.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group D" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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