Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Donstu Esports and eternal premium in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for May 8 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Donstu Esports" if Donstu Esports win the match against eternal premium. This market will resolve to "eternal premium" if eternal premium win the match against Donstu Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs eternal premium (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Donstu Esports and eternal premium are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Counter-Strike match in Round 2 of the Exort Series Main Stage on 8 May at 5:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders assess both teams as evenly matched at present. This equilibrium probability suggests limited historical precedent or recent form data strongly favouring either side, or that available information about roster changes, recent tournament results, and head-to-head records is balanced between the two competitors.
Counter-Strike esports markets at this probability level typically hinge on team stability and recent LAN performance. Donstu Esports and eternal premium's placements in preceding Exort Series rounds, any roster adjustments announced in the weeks before 8 May, and their respective showings in other regional or international qualifiers will be the primary catalysts. Traders should monitor official Exort Series communications and team social media for withdrawal announcements, stand-in confirmations, or scheduling changes that could trigger market repricing.
The settlement window closes at 15:30 UTC on 8 May, allowing approximately ten hours from the scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Delays beyond seven days without resolution trigger a 50-50 settlement, a clause that becomes relevant if either team faces travel disruptions or unforeseen technical issues. Current liquidity and order-book depth will determine execution costs for traders seeking to move the probability away from parity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/exort_en2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/exort_en2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: