Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Donstu Esports and CYBERSHOKE Prospects in the CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Donstu Esports" if Donstu Esports win the match against CYBERSHOKE Prospects. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Prospects" if CYBERSHOKE Prospects win the match against Donstu Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 59% YES | 41% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5) | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Donstu Esports face CYBERSHOKE Prospects in an upper bracket semifinal of the CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs, a regional Counter-Strike competition feeding into broader European competitive circuits. The match is scheduled for 14 May at 2:15PM ET, with settlement occurring shortly after conclusion. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 59% implied probability for Donstu Esports victory, suggesting the market views them as modest favourites despite this being a knockout fixture where either team's preparation and form on the day carry substantial weight.
CCT Europe Contenders tournaments typically attract mid-tier professional and semi-professional rosters, making historical precedent from these events moderately predictive but not deterministic. Teams at this competitive level show high variance in performance across best-of-three series, particularly when facing unfamiliar opponents or when roster changes have occurred recently. The 59% probability suggests the market has identified some structural advantage for Donstu—possibly recent form, head-to-head record, or perceived firepower—but acknowledges meaningful uncertainty inherent to knockout esports competition.
Traders should monitor for last-minute roster changes, player substitutions, or withdrawal announcements in the 48 hours preceding the match, as these frequently alter competitive balance in regional tournaments. Fixture confirmation and any schedule shifts should be tracked through official CCT channels and team social media. Equipment or technical issues affecting either side during the match could theoretically trigger the tie or cancellation resolution conditions, though such outcomes remain uncommon in professionally-managed events.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs4. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs4. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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