Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Nerve of Cow and BOJONG in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 11 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nerve of Cow" if Nerve of Cow win the match against BOJONG. This market will resolve to "BOJONG" if BOJONG win the match against Nerve of Cow. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Nerve of Cow and BOJONG are scheduled to contest a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within ESEA Advanced Europe's regular season on 11 May at 14:00 ET. The settlement window closes on 12 May at 00:10 UTC, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects zero implied probability for a Nerve of Cow victory, suggesting either exceptionally strong confidence in BOJONG or minimal liquidity establishing a floor price.
ESEA Advanced Europe operates as a competitive but secondary-tier circuit below the Pro League structure, hosting teams with inconsistent international exposure. Historical precedent from similar regional fixtures shows that matches between lower-ranked squads often exhibit volatile outcomes when roster changes, stand-in players, or preparation disparities emerge. The 0% implied probability warrants scrutiny—such extreme pricing typically indicates either one team's documented withdrawal, a known roster crisis, or simply that no counterparty has yet committed capital to back Nerve of Cow at any price.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official match schedule for any postponement notices or cancellations, particularly given the tight settlement window. Roster announcements or stand-in confirmations from either organisation in the 48 hours preceding the fixture could materially shift expectations. The best-of-one format eliminates variance dampening, making individual map selection and recent form on that specific pool critical. Any delay extending beyond 7 days from the scheduled date triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for positions held through the settlement deadline.
Counter-Strike (CS) is a series of multiplayer tactical first-person shooter video games, in which opposing teams attempt to complete various objectives. The series began on Windows in 1999 with the release of the first game, Counter-Strike. It was initially released as a mod for Half-Life that was designed by Minh Le and Jess Cliffe before the rights to the
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BOJONG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$76 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $76 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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